A Pattern of Huge Rallies after Sharp Selloffs

May 28, 2015: 12:36 PM CST

As traders, one of our responsibilities is to spot patterns in the market and then exploit them as long as they keep occurring.

After spotting a specific pattern, we use it to guide our trading decisions until the pattern fails and a new one emerges in its place.

There’s a specific short-term pattern that’s been occurring after every single pullback (retracement) in 2015 so let’s take a look at it, see how it played out again perfectly yesterday, and be on guard for this pattern to stop working.

Here it is in the S&P 500:

In simplest terms, after a sell-swing (retracement) against the ongoing uptrend, buyers flood the market and boost prices sharply higher after even the slightest pullback.

This highlights bullish dominance of the market as liquidity continues to float prices higher.

Simply note the big green highlighted bars (days) after every last pullback in price.

Instead of a stable reversal (intraday) as we saw at the highs before a sell-swing, each reversal back to the upside occurred on a huge surge of buying pressure, thrusting the market straight up in a Trend Day – not a gentle reversal at all.

Tuesday’s Trend Day sell-swing down gave way to Wednesday’s even stronger Trend Day UP.

The picture is the same in the Dow Jones for reference:

We can see that after the sell-swings – every one of them – buyers spiked the market higher powerfully, turning short-sellers into buyers on the way up (as they covered losses).

While the ongoing short-term pattern may fail, it’s helpful to be aware of it and how it has played out in the recent past and may continue to do so in the future.

Here’s a couple of updates this week that highlight how the recent jump-rally developed:

A Quick Lesson in Trading Divergences into Support” (Wednesday’s reversal lesson)

“May 27 Big Rally and Stock Scan Update”

We highlight these patterns in far more detail – along with actionable analysis and real-world trading education – in the Afraid to Trade Membership

Join us and jump-start your trading like the buyers continue to spike the market higher!

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Corey Rosenbloom, CMT
Afraid to Trade.com

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Corey’s book The Complete Trading Course (Wiley Finance) is now available along with the newly released Profiting from the Life Cycle of a Stock Trend presentation (also from Wiley).

1 Comment

One Response to “A Pattern of Huge Rallies after Sharp Selloffs”

  1. Macleod Says:

    Frankly speaking, I am not a huge fan of short term trading since the risk is just too large to ignore, if we wish to get consistent profits then it’s with better patterns and long term trading. I am lucky to not worry over analyzing with OctaFX broker, it has their own analysis service and it’s so accurate that one does not need to think much after following it and most times it leads to great results and I am the living example of it.