April 21 Gap Trap Surprise Market Update and Stock Scan

Apr 21, 2015: 1:51 PM CST

As we’ll see on the intraday chart, today’s session was a continuation of the sideways range that developed after Monday morning’s big upside gap.

Despite early morning bullish action in the futures, price retraced and has traded lower/sideways all day.

Let’s dive inside action and note key levels and the trending stocks of the bullish day:

Be sure to brush up on the “S&P 500 Range Planning” post for a broader perspective.

We’re still within the context of the sideways trading range mentioned earlier, though the morning action threatened a breakout.

The breakout failed and the bias will be to the downside, especially if price remains under the 2,100 pivot.

Use 2,100 as the intraday inflection point and don’t be surprised if price falls back into a familiar groove and falls down away from 2,100.

By the same logic, don’t be surprised if – like February – buyers intervene and thrust the market via a short-squeeze pathway to new highs.

Be prepared for either the “Range Continuation” or “Range Breakout” scenarios.

Let’s see what our Breadth Chart reveals about current market strength (or weakness):

We have division in the ranks as four sectors are above the 50% line and five are beneath it.

The strongest cluster is in the Defensive names of Staples and Health Care… yet this traditionally bearish signal is offset by the bullish cluster in Discretionary and Technology.

Energy and Utilities lag the market today and should be avoided unless going short individual names.

We have potential bullish trend continuation plays in the following stocks from our scan:

Allegheny (ATI), Lam Research (LRCX), Fortinet (FTNT), and Kimberly-Clark (KMB)

If you’re must be a bear on a bullish day, you can try these bearish/weak names:

Packaging (PKG), Harley Davidson (HOG), Travelers (TRV), and Hartford (HIG)

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Corey Rosenbloom, CMT
Afraid to Trade.com

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1 Comment

One Response to “April 21 Gap Trap Surprise Market Update and Stock Scan”

  1. Warner Says:

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