Netflix NFLX Struggles to Hold Key Support

Dec 22, 2015: 11:18 AM CST

Will Netflix (NFLX) hold critical support and bounce higher to continue the uptrend?

Or perhaps will sellers win the battle, collapsing price to a new lower support target?

Let’s plot the price course and note the trades to take from here in NFLX:

First, price remains (so far) in an uptrend and challenges a key support “Make or Break” pivot.

The $115.00 per share level is the confluence of the lower Bollinger Band, 50 day EMA, and 50% Fibonacci Retracement.

Either this level holds, resulting in a bullish rally “up away from” $115, or it doesn’t, collapsing price toward $100.

Your trade – if you’re willing to play the next immediate swing – would be the departure away from $115 here.

Note the lower rising support trendline and 200 day SMA near $100 – the downside target.

Otherwise a bullish bounce play targets $120 then the prior high (uptrend continuation) into $130 per share.

Here’s a clearer perspective of the weekly chart and what may yet be in store:

A quick glance at the Weekly Chart reminds us that price is in an ongoing uptrend.

However, we’re currently in a “counter-trend retracement” swing down away from the upper Bollinger Band.

Price is likely – according to the Weekly Chart – to trade down toward the rising 20 week EMA into $110.00.

If so, it suggests the Daily Chart Support Pivot ($115) will fail, opening the door to a sell swing $5.00 lower.

Note how the rising 20 week EMA has been a key target during the uptrend.

Focus your attention – and build trading strategies – right now off the $115 pivot.

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Corey Rosenbloom, CMT
Afraid to Trade.com

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2 Comments

2 Responses to “Netflix NFLX Struggles to Hold Key Support”

  1. Netflix Is Struggling to Hold Critical Support Says:

    […] By Corey Rosenbloom […]

  2. Boland Says:

    It is very interesting to see what happens next, I believe we might see bounce back, as it is tough to see it break the support level. I usually don’t prefer to trade on this, as we need a lot more capital to work on. I am lucky that with OctaFX broker, I have got massive options with over 50 instruments been present, so that means I can select whatever I wish, but one great thing is that this blogs updates me about everything which makes trading easier.