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Potash POT Past Arc and Current Fibonacci Resistance

Potash (POT) was a major “go-go” stock of 2007 and part of 2008 as it helped investors ride up the commodity market ‘boom,’ but the crash was severe in the latter part of 2008, erasing almost all of the prior gains.

We’ve rallied sharply in 2009, but as you’ll see from the chart, the recent 70% rally from the late 2008 lows into the June 2009 highs was only able to reach the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement price of the entire down-move, which provided major resistance there. Let’s take a look at both of these examples.

Excellent Intraday Three Push Example Aug 7

With the monthly “Jobs Report” coming in better than expected (the unemployment rate actually DECLINED in July, when the consensus was for an increase of anywhere from 0.1% to 0.3%), the market pushed higher from the open into what resembled a Trend Day. However, by mid-day, the S&P 500 challenged overhead resistance and a “Three Push” negative divergence pattern (as well as an Elliott Wave fractal) formed at the highs. Let’s take a quick look.