Comments on: TICK Divergence Tuesday

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By: Dominick

Dominick — Thu, 16 Apr 2009 03:41:41 +0000

Fantastic analysis Corey. I spotted a lot of the patterns you regularly speak about and point out on the site. It gives great confidence. Thanks.

By: Corey Rosenbloom

Corey Rosenbloom — Wed, 15 Apr 2009 17:19:28 +0000

Blue, Andrew Horowitz and I were discussing that article recently. The specific article is:

http://zerohedge.blogspot.com/2009/04/incredibly-shrinking-market-liquidity.html

Certainly a decent possibility. Lower volume would mean volatility/range would be higher, bid/ask spreads would be wider, and … well it wouldn’t be a good thing, let’s just leave it at that.

By: Blue

Blue — Wed, 15 Apr 2009 16:44:52 +0000

I bet what’s going on with the vix is due to GS’s control of 30-40% of the volume (read ZeroHedges blog for info). The volatility swings of last year are gone because the market is being DOMINATED by one major player driving the tape. That’s my theory. Now that GS got their $123 a share dilution and once OPEX ends, I’m willing to bet we go back to the wild wild west like last year, but with less volume. Lots of people simply bailed on this stock market.

By: Corey Rosenbloom

Corey Rosenbloom — Wed, 15 Apr 2009 15:09:58 +0000

Mark,

No problem – it was an interesting chart.

I really have no idea about the VIX – I noticed that in my end-of-day meeting but we just brushed it aside and noted it as strange. The VIX has been acting weird in my opinion lately, namely not confirming the March lows with a high VIX reading.

If any readers have any insights on this, please feel free to share.

By: Corey Rosenbloom

Corey Rosenbloom — Wed, 15 Apr 2009 15:08:12 +0000

Anon,

Thank you for reading and sharing!

By: Corey Rosenbloom

Corey Rosenbloom — Wed, 15 Apr 2009 15:07:26 +0000

Blue,

Good to hear from you! I love the GTM site – very in-depth and informative.

Yes, certain indicators/trade set-ups cycle in and out of favor. The gap-fade worked wonders in 2008 but it’s not been so hot in 2009. There’s a little bit of disconnect in the VIX and S&P slightly at the moment which is odd.

It’s all about finding that magic mix of indicators/trades that make sense to us (personally) and then the market continuing to deliver. But, like the old saying goes, once you figure out the key, they change the lock!

By: mark

mark — Wed, 15 Apr 2009 12:44:32 +0000

Hi Corey, thanks for faz breakdown from yesterday, question, why was vix negative yesterday ? fridays option ex ? thanks mark