Comments on: Triple Measured Moves in SPY Show Market Character

By: freak79

freak79 — Tue, 29 Dec 2009 11:06:01 +0000

Well this is very interesting indeed.Would love to read a little more of this. Great post. Thanks for the heads-up?This blog was very informative and knowledgeable

respect
martin goper
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By: Stock Market Analysis: 11/18/2009 | ANOMALOUS MATERIAL

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[...] Triple measured move in SPY show market character (Afraid to Trade) [...]

By: Red Dragon Leo

Red Dragon Leo — Wed, 18 Nov 2009 13:18:45 +0000

Good observation Corey. I totally missed it.

By: graspthemarket

graspthemarket — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 22:14:35 +0000

I haven't really reached on any reliable conclusion about cycles either. To me they always appear to be something recognizable in hindsight. I did, however, discuss a little about the VIX over the past week in a brief article at the bottom of this page: http://www.graspthemarket.com/articles/20091115.... Overall, I guess I would’ve expected something to move with the VIX over the past week or so, but we are just stuck at about 23—inspite of a 550 point rally. I don’t know what to make of this divergence…especially, because I would’ve expected the VIX to decline with the rally. Any thoughts?

By: terlyn

terlyn — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 17:51:00 +0000

Right. I thought the lunar cycle thing was a bit far out, but then I researched it and found that others noticed a statistically significant increase at the New Moon, but not much difference.

By: Corey Rosenbloom, CMT

Corey Rosenbloom, CMT — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 17:39:34 +0000

Hey Terry,

I read that in the issue and found that interesting. I'm not one that does much at all with cycles, but it's interesting to observe.

The OpEx week (Friday) will likely dominate the structure this week – higher volume and more volatility.

By: terlyn

terlyn — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 17:28:09 +0000

This is a similar analysis to the New Moon/Full Moon, which has been talked about, eg, by the Elliott Wave International. Options expiration seems like an important point to note. The New Moon was yesterday at 2:00pm, the high of the day.