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Mid-2012 Sector Rotation Signal Checkup

With half of 2012 behind us, let’s take a quick check of what the Sector Rotation Model is suggesting, both from a Year-to-Date perspective and from the 2012 peak so far. First, let’s update Sector Performance Year-to-Date: The Sector Rotation Model classifies the major sectors into two broader categories:  Offensive or “Risk-On” Sectors (such as…

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June Distribution Volume Continuing in Stocks SPY

I’ve been highlighting the trend of distribution volume in the SPY (S&P 500 ETF) since April, and that trend continues presently. Let’s take a quick update on what volume suggests about the health of the stock market: We continue to see phases of Distribution Volume as price rallies and retraces from May to present. To…

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Quick Glance at the Intermarket Landscape to end June

As June winds to a close, let’s take a quick look at the current Risk-On/Risk-Off trends within the Intermarket Landscape. Here’s the current Cross-Market Picture: For a quick review, the way we interpret the line chart above is to divide the broader markets into “Risk-On” or “Risk-Off” markets: “Risk-On” Markets include Stocks and Commodities (shown…

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Mid-June Triple US Stock Index Open Air Impulse Check

US Stock Market Indexes have rallied into the initial resistance level accordingly, and now appear poised to break through these levels with the favorable outcome in the Greek election over the weekend. Let’s take a quick glance at the current daily resistance levels that price could shatter this week on a push through a visible…

June SP500 Breadth Divergences and Reversals

Monitoring Market Internals – particularly Breadth – tends to be very helpful for short-term traders to asses market strength or weakness, particularly during a mature rally or decline. Let’s take a look at the current state of Market Internals and how they have been effective for trading intraday trend reversals and breakthroughs. The simple price…