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Author: cjrosen

Daily Commentary

A Short and Long Term Look at Crude Oil

Bycjrosen January 5, 2009

A couple of readers have asked me to take a look at current Crude Oil structure and what might be ahead.  Let’s do so both on the daily chart, and then see a full Elliott Wave Count with an interesting twist on the Monthly Chart. Crude Oil ($WTIC) Daily: Probably the first thing that jumps…

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Uncategorized

Digging Deeper into the Recent Rally

Bycjrosen January 4, 2009

The last few trading days have been a boon for buyers, but let’s take a closer look at the 15-min intraday chart of the DIA to see what kind of foundation underlays this move. DIA 15 min: At first glance, we see a powerful trend-move on the 15-min chart, as price rallied almost without pause…

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Uncategorized

Timing Entries into Your 401k

Bycjrosen January 3, 2009

I wanted to call attention to a study by Rob Hanna of Quantifiable Edges regarding using a simple timing mechanism to try to achieve better returns over an 11 year period in a hypothetical 401k. Rob’s post “Should You Time Your Entries into Your 401k?” addresses this question and tests the difference between equal contributions…

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Weekly Commentary

Daily and Weekly View of the SP 500

Bycjrosen January 3, 2009

With last week’s price action taking us slightly above resistance on the daily chart, let’s view both the daily and weekly price structures of the S&P 500 and note additional possible overhead resistance targets. S&P 500 Daily: The first thing that should jump out at you is that price rallied the last three days and…

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Daily Commentary

Market Cracks Overhead Resistance

Bycjrosen January 2, 2009

How’s this for a headline:  All Four Major US Equity Indexes have now Broken Above Key Resistance via their 50 day EMAs… at least intraday.  Let’s take a quick look and then wait for a fuller assessment after today’s close. S&P 500 Daily Chart: Again, fuller analysis will come after the close but you need…

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Market Education

Confluence Support Zone for the 1987 Low

Bycjrosen January 2, 2009

A reader asked me to elaborate on the various confluence price points that helped set in the 1987 “crash” low and here is a representation of some of those points. S&P 500 from 1980 to 1987 – compressed with Gann and Fibonacci: Let me explain what I’ve done with this chart.  I begin the chart…

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Market Education

A Weekly Chart Look at the 1987 Market Crash

Bycjrosen January 1, 2009

As a follow-up to the previous post on the 1987 Market Crash (on the daily chart), the following post creates an overview of the crash starting with 1984 and moving up to the crash, while looking at the perspective with an Elliott Wave impulse count.  Let’s see it. S&P 500 Weekly Chart with Elliott Waves:…

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Market Education

A Technical Look at the 1987 Stock Market Crash

Bycjrosen January 1, 2009

I was scanning some different periods for interesting chart patterns and wanted to share some insights on the structure of the 1987 stock market ‘crash’ in the S&P 500 Index.  Let’s look at the chart of 1987 and then see the few years preceding this move with an Elliott Wave count overlaid on price. 1987…

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Daily Commentary

2008 Final Index Performance Numbers

Bycjrosen December 31, 2008

Courtesy BarChart.com, here are the year-to-date performances of a broad assortment of major market Indexes, including the US Equities, CRB Commodity Index, and Dollar Index. You can view the chart yourself at BarCharts.com or use your own program to display other index and stock returns for 2008.  Just be sensitive to seeing lots of red…

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Daily Commentary

Nice Trend Day Up – Good Way to End 2008

Bycjrosen December 31, 2008

2008 is finally behind us and the year ended on a positive note – a nice, solid trend day to the upside.  Let’s look at the DIA intraday structure to reflect on this pleasant picture. DIA 5-min chart Dec 31, 2008: This is what a trend day should be – except for the close, that…

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