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Author: cjrosen

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Just How Low Can the Dow Jones Go

Bycjrosen November 21, 2008

This trading week so far has been an absolute disaster for long-only investors.  Let’s take a look at the current Dow Jones structure and see if we can pick up any clues on what might be in store next. Dow Jones Monthly: As of this writing, there’s still an hour left in this trading week…

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Links

Free Live Streaming Video from the Vegas Traders Expo

Bycjrosen November 21, 2008

I just discovered this link and had to pass it on to you.  The MoneyShow.com is featuring dozens of select presentations via webinars from speakers at the Las Vegas Trader’s Expo. Specifically, the link is their “Upcoming Webcast” page off the homepage which offers you to participate or view in a chat-room while listening to…

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Daily Commentary

Inside Today’s DIA Trading Patterns

Bycjrosen November 20, 2008

What a day.  Let’s take the DIA (Dow Jones ETF) trading structure on the 5-minute and 30-minute charts to see what insights we might can learn from any pattern recognition examples that might emerge on such a historic day. DIA 5-min chart: The first pattern that jumps off the chart at you is what I…

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Market Education

A Look Back at the 2002 Bear Market Bottom

Bycjrosen November 20, 2008

With the US Equity market breaking to fresh 2008 lows, challenging and breaking support levels formed in 2002, let’s take a look at how the actual bottoming process formed in the 2000 – 2003 bear market. S&P 500 Bear Market from 2000 to 2003 (Weekly): The bull market peak occurred at 1,530 just before October…

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Daily Commentary

Midweek SP 500 Overview

Bycjrosen November 19, 2008

Now that today’s close is firmly in place, we have a potential game-changer in terms of the technical structure.  The monthly chart also shows a major bearish development  Let’s look at the current S&P 500 chart closely to see what this means. S&P 500 Daily: Not a whole lot has changed on the daily structure,…

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Daily Commentary

Midweek Dow Index Overview

Bycjrosen November 19, 2008

As we near the halfway point in Wednesday’s trading, let’s look at the current Dow Jones Index structure on the daily chart to assess the current technical picture. Dow Jones Daily: The 8,100 level has held key support five times since October with only two instances of price ‘nipping’ beneath that level.  Mid-October brought us…

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Daily Commentary

Sears Holdings SHLD Steady Price Plunge

Bycjrosen November 18, 2008

Sears Holdings (SHLD) is a large retail stock I tend to follow from time to time, but today I noticed just how far the stock has fallen this year and since 2007.  Let’s take a look at the devastation long-term SHLD investors have endured recently. SHLD Weekly Chart: Price reached an all-time high at $190…

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Daily Commentary

Pivot, Divergence, and Elliott

Bycjrosen November 18, 2008

As we head into the ‘lunch’ period, I wanted to show a fascinating price structure occurrence that led to a couple of high-probability, low risk trading opportunies this morning.  It includes a Daily R1 Pivot Point, a negative momentum Divergence, and a possible complete Elliott Wave minor count.  Let’s see them in action. DIA 5-min…

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Daily Commentary

Jerry Yang Steps Down as Yahoo CEO – With Charts

Bycjrosen November 17, 2008

CNN News just reported that current Yahoo! CEO Jerry Yang will be stepping down and his replacement will be named soon.  Let’s review this news and look at the current and past charts of Yahoo stock. From the CNN article, Yang stated, “”I will continue to focus on global strategy and to do everything I…

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Daily Commentary

ADX Compression in the DIA

Bycjrosen November 17, 2008

It’s quite rare to get a reading in the ADX (Average Directional Index) of less than 10, but the DIA 5-minute chart is currently showing compression such that the ADX value is 8.77.  Let’s look at this and see what it might mean. DIA 5-min chart: In StockCharts, the ADX actually displays the + and…

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