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December 4th Lesson in Recognizing and Trading Intraday Trend Reversals

December 4th’s intraday trading session provided an intraday reversal opportunity and I wanted to take a moment to review the main lessons in anticipating – in real time – and then trading an intraday stock market reversal. Let’s review the steps a market tends to take prior to an intraday reversal and then highlight the…

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Watching the Key Short Term Pivot in the SP500 to End November

As we transition to December soon, let’s take a look at the critical level to monitor in the S&P 500 to determine our trading strategies as December approaches. Here’s the top-level Daily Chart with key level highlighted: Cutting straight to the point, the Key Inflection Level is 1,410 which reflects the confluence of the following:…

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Quick Checking SP500 Market Internals to Start Thanksgiving Week

As you’re probably aware, the Thanksgiving holiday week tends to be a bullish week and Monday’s price action may be setting the stage for continued bullishness. Let’s take a quick look at the S&P 500 “Big Three” Market Internals and note the recent powerful divergence that set the stage for Monday’s big rally. Here’s the…

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Updating October TICK Volatility and Levels for Intraday Traders

If you are an intraday trader and use the NYSE (or related) TICK indicator in your trading decisions, it’s very important to calibrate important TICK Levels with respect to volatility. In simple terms, a TICK Value of 1,000 means different things during periods of high or low broad market volatility, and you can easily make…

Charting Presidential Stock Performance from Carter to Obama

With the 2012 Presidential Campaign now in full swing, I thought it would be interesting to observe prior performance of the stock market under the different presidential administrations from Jimmy Carter to Barack Obama. The charts below all begin and end on January 20th as the starting and ending day of a presidential term for…

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Scanning for Stocks Most Extended from 200d SMA to End August

Which stocks in the S&P 500 are most over and under-extended from their 200 day Simple Moving Averages?  And how might we use this information for potential upcoming trades? Let’s take a look at the new scan results at the end of August 2012 and find out. Here’s the Top 5 Stocks Most Over-Extended S&P…