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Theme Thinking – SPY Moving Between Round Number Levels

I strongly advocate “thinking in themes” rather than indicators and keeping your focus as much as possible on price structure. Namely, you want to know “what is price doing and how effectively is it doing in?” Here – let’s look at the current SPY intraday world to pick up on a theme that you may…

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Updating the Strong Correlation in 10 Year Yield and SP500

When we think of inter-market positive relationships, most of us think of Stocks, Crude Oil, and Gold (among other commodities) as highly positively corrlated and that’s true. What doesn’t come to mind immediately is the very strong positive correlation in the 10-year Treasury Note Yield and the S&P 500. It’s an important relationship that traders…

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Daily and Weekly Trend Structure Update for Copper

I’ve heard a lot of chatter about Copper prices and a potential reversal lately, so let’s take a quick look at simple trend structure and levels to watch on both the important weekly and daily chart frames. First, the Weekly Chart gives the bigger perspective: First of all, when quantifying trend on the weekly chart,…

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Checking on SP500 Diverging Breadth and Current Structure March 28

What is the current “hidden” picture of market strength or weakness from the perspective of Market Breadth?  Not good, for one. Let’s take a look at NYSE Market Breadth in terms of the current snap-rally and what levels are important to watch. First, the bigger “breadth” picture from the 30-min chart: What we’re seeing is…

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Stepping Inside the Bearish Engulfing Bull Trap in Gold GLD

Wow – what a turn-around intraday in gold prices!  Buyers who purchased gold or the GLD ETF on the breakout to new highs in the morning session were cursed with a mid-day reversal that triggered a Bull Trap that created an ominous looking Bearish Engulfing Candle on the daily chart. Let’s take a moment to…