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Daily Commentary

Fallout Begins from MSFT and YHOO

Bycjrosen May 5, 2008

Microsoft officially withdrew its offer to acquire Yahoo, after Yahoo continued to hold out for a higher offer.  The fall-out from this decision has already begun. AP Business writer Michael Liedtke reported Yahoo (YHOO) stock plunged 15% this morning, yet it is recovering some of its gains. “The sell-off wiped out nearly half the gain…

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Daily Commentary | Market Education

AAPL Surges and Impresses

Bycjrosen May 4, 2008

Apple Inc (AAPL) continued its winning streak into May after rising from $120 in March to $180 in May. It’s rare when we see a stock carve out the pattern Apple has, and so we need to look at this pattern to learn from it now. After plunging almost 50% in early 2008, price built…

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Market Education

Inside a Dark Cloud Cover

Bycjrosen May 3, 2008

With Candlestick analysis becoming more popular and accepted, I thought it would be interesting to take you inside a Dark Cloud Cover candle pattern. Let’s peek inside the candle. I mentioned that Google recently formed a Dark Cloud Cover pattern. Let’s discuss it before we see it. A “DCC” is a reversal pattern that must…

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Daily Commentary

Google Surges, Forms Dark Cloud Cover

Bycjrosen May 3, 2008

Google Inc (GOOG) has been on a powerful move up, surging from $440 to $600 in less than a month.  Following the upside $80 gap recently, the stock has impressed investors by adding another $80 points since the gap.  But let’s look at the current action to see if this is sustainable. The price action…

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Daily Commentary

Dollar Rallies and Gold Falls

Bycjrosen May 2, 2008

In a twisting reversal of fate, the US Dollar Index is coming off new lows after building a potential base while gold prices are coming off new highs after a climax top and potential top formation. The intermarket relationships are in full force. Let’s look! Notice the ‘mirror image’ occurring in this post. That’s because…

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Uncategorized

Major Index Gaps and Fills

Bycjrosen May 2, 2008

With my new Excel function, I’m able to go back and scan any type of gap and examine whether or not it filled or not. Let’s look quickly at large index gaps and see the odds of those filling. I tested the DIA (Dow Jones ETF) and looked at a variety of gap sizes from…

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Daily Commentary

Some Surprising Trend Day Action

Bycjrosen May 1, 2008

Perhaps unexpectedly, the market gave us a powerful trend day up today.  Let’s look at it and see where it leaves us in the broader picture: I’m showing the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) here for a proxy of the intraday action. Markets usually start a trend day by gapping, but this trend day snook up…

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Uncategorized

Gap Fade Stats for April

Bycjrosen May 1, 2008

With May 1st upon us, it’s time to look at the number of overnight gaps and gap fills in the DIA (Dow Jones ETF) for the month of April. I am testing for overnight price changes greater than $0.20 (20 Dow points) in the ETF. Of the 22 trading days in April, 14 resulted in…

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Daily Commentary

A Look Inside the Transports

Bycjrosen May 1, 2008

As I mentioned previously, the DJ Transportation Average is outperforming the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which generally is bullish for the overall market. Let’s peek inside the average to see which components of the Transports are doing the best. Let’s break it down into the Air Freight and Railroads, and their percentage performance since the…

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Daily Commentary

Stunning Intraday Action

Bycjrosen April 30, 2008

How did you do on today’s Fed day?  Days like this can remind us why volatile conditions can either be very rewarding or very draining for your account.  Let’s see what happened and where the dust settled: On the intraday chart of the DIA, the Fed announcement (they cut .25 to 2.00%, as expected) came…

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