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A Look at the Recent Fall in Potash POT Dec 20

Potash (POT) is a stock I like to follow, mainly because it received so much attention as it rallied non-stop (almost) from 2006 at $30 per share to the mid-October 2008 peak of $240. The stock is well-beneath these lows now, but it looked like the stock was coming back to life.

The recent downswing last Thursday and Friday brought that into question. Let’s take a look at Potash’s weekly and daily chart and note key levels to watch going forward.

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Potash POT Past Arc and Current Fibonacci Resistance

Potash (POT) was a major “go-go” stock of 2007 and part of 2008 as it helped investors ride up the commodity market ‘boom,’ but the crash was severe in the latter part of 2008, erasing almost all of the prior gains.

We’ve rallied sharply in 2009, but as you’ll see from the chart, the recent 70% rally from the late 2008 lows into the June 2009 highs was only able to reach the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement price of the entire down-move, which provided major resistance there. Let’s take a look at both of these examples.

Potash Breaks to Downside – Targets Established

High-flying stock Potash (POT) appears to be in a larger-scale distribution pattern on the daily chart and just potentially broke a descending triangle today.  Let’s look at this chart for potential price targets should these patterns be valid. Potash Daily: Based on quick analysis, we have lengthy and persistent negative momentum divergences since April, and…