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A Triple Timeframe Update of SP500 Market Structure

A member asked a question regarding the short-term and intraday trends of the current SP500 and I wanted to take a moment to update the current “Market Structure” view of the trend and what reversed from the recent sell-off. We’ll start with the Daily Chart then note two intraday timeframes to compare ongoing Structure: Market…

June 27 Market Internals and Fibonacci Check for SP500 and Dow Jones

With the sharp rally over the last three trading sessions, let’s take a quick look at the current Fibonacci Confluence reference area along with an update of Breadth (market internals) on the rally. We’ll start with the SP500: This is meant to be a quick update so we’ll focus first on the two short-term (intraday)…

Viewing the Recent Shift in Money Flow Trends

While the Federal Reserve policy announcement last week shook up the intermarket money flow trends, let’s pull back the perspective to the broader trends in money flow in stocks, treasuries, gold, oil, and the US Dollar Index. Here’s the broader picture of “Risk-On” and “Risk-Off” Money Flow: We see five cross-markets on the intermarket landscape…

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Thoughts on the Recent Crude Oil Bull Trap

We have one more educational lesson to add to our previous “Lessons from Three Bull Traps and Reversal Pathways” post – Crude Oil similarly triggered an initial breakout with divergences then returned back under the breakout trendline, signaling a potential collapse toward the lower support line. Let’s take a look at this development and add…

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A Quick Monthly Chart Fibonacci Confluence Support Level Update for Gold

After the collapse Thursday in the price of gold toward and then under the $1,300 support target level, let’s update our Fibonacci grid and note why this level is so important both as a target and yet another “make or break” key level on the chart. Here’s the Monthly Fibonacci Retracement Grid: I just wanted…

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Quick Lessons from Three Bull Traps and Reversal Pathways

There have been three recent “Bull Traps” or initial breakouts that resulted in a sudden failure (reversal) of price and it’s always helpful to study the lessons from these recurring patterns. Let’s take a look at three intermarket examples (Treasuries, the US Dollar Index, and the US Stock Market) and find the insights these examples…