Triangulating Bull Fund FAS Challenges Critical Support

With the broad indexes challenging – and in some cases breaking – initial ‘barrier’ support levels, the financial sector is already breaking down into fresh 2011 lows. We see a similar picture in the triple-leveraged financial bull fund FAS – a popular vehicle for aggressive traders. What’s the current pattern and critical level to watch…

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Triple Index Busted Support to Start the May 23 Week

The three major US Equity Indexes have been precariously straddling initial support levels, and as we start this May 23rd week, all three indexes gapped down under these initial levels. Let’s take a “Triple Index” overview of the current structures with regard to the “Barrier” levels to watch and then future “Points of No Return.”…

Charting the Big Breakouts in Defensive ETFs XLP XLV XLU

I wanted to show a follow-up to my prior post “Clear Bearish Signals Developing from the Sector Rotation Model,” and focus on the breakouts in the “Big Three” Defensive Sector ETFs:  Staples, Health Care, and Utilities. Let’s take a quick look at the similarities – and strong recent breakout – in these defensive funds. First,…

May 18 Checkup on Bullishly Diverging Market Internals

What are the “Big Three” Market Internals saying about the current structure in the S&P 500? Let’s take a look: I shared this chart in yesterday’s Idealized Trades member report, and we’re already seeing the bullish follow-through today that was suggested from the picture in Market Internals. To recap, the “Big Three” Internals are Breadth,…

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Multi-timeframe Key Reference Level Play in Monsanto MON

Traders who enjoy playing price off major inflection (decision) points have a potential opportunity forming here in Monsanto (MON) – an important agricultural company – as price sits atop a critical support/reference area at $63.00 per share. Let’s see how this area has become important and what the implications would be if the area holds……

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Clear Bearish Signals Developing from Sector Rotation Model

What does the Sector Rotation Model reveal about the current market situation? Money appears to be flowing into Defensive Sectors and in part away from Offensive Sectors, which is a clear “Caution” or warning sign for the market at the moment. Let’s take a look at Sector Performance Year-to-Date: I break down the nine Sector…

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Dual Compression Example in KRE Regional Banks ETF

While scanning major ETFs, I found an interesting pattern/structure that I wanted to share on the Regional Banking ETF – KRE. The Regional Banking ETF can be a good proxy for smaller/community banks as opposed to the large financial institutions like Bank of America, Citigroup, JP Morgan, etc. So what’s going on and what should…

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Breakout and Retracement Trade Lessons from High Flying WYNN

Many stock traders are aware of the meteoric rise in Wynn Resorts (WYNN), but new traders often report having difficulty finding that perfect entry into such a popular, strongly uptrending stock. Let’s take a step back and learn a few tips on trading simple breakout and retracement trades into a powerfully trending stock. Let’s start…

Stock Market Structure and Support Level Update to Start the Week

As we start the new week, let’s focus on two main ideas in the US Equity Markets – Trend Structure and Current Reference Support Levels. Let’s start with the S&P 500: Before we start with the chart, let’s define “Market Structure.” In simplest terms, “Structure” refers to the progression of price swing highs and price…