Market Internals Again Undercut Intraday High – Watch
The market has pushed into a key resistance level – the 1,100 area – and all three key market internals have deteriorated, which is a non-confirmation and potential bearish signal at the highs.
Let’s take a look:
Pay close attention to the new intraday – and short-term recovery – high of 1,105 that formed this morning.
ALL three internals – Breadth, TICK Extreme, and Volume Difference – formed CLEAR lower highs that undercut/disconfirmed the recent price high.
Fewer stocks participated in the index high, and unless we see a strengthening in internals, odds are strong that the price will breakdown.
Take a look back at my prior posts from the last time this situation happened:
“ If the Market is Going to Turn Down, it will Do so Here” (it did)
“Triple Index Reference Levels to Watch” (they turned down at the averages)
“May 14: Market Sells Off Exactly On Cue” (will this happen again?)
The 1,100 Level is key to watch, as I wrote last night.
Why?
The 200day SMA rests at 1,106
The 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement rests at 1,108
“Round Number” Resistance is 1,100
When you get a confluence of resistance and see price rally into that resistance level on declining volume and market internals, odds strongly favor a reversal down.
It’s not guaranteed – it’s all probabilities – but unless we see any sudden rise in price and a pick-up in market internals, it’d probably be a good idea to assume that resistance will likely hold here.
Corey Rosenbloom, CMT
Afraid to Trade.com
Follow Corey on Twitter: http://twitter.com/afraidtotrade
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